The Predicted Time of Arrival provides you with a carrier-independent assessment of the ETA of your container shipments. These predictions are based on machine learning technology as well as advanced statistics on Ocean Insights’ high-quality data sets of historical container shipments, ship routes, sailing schedules, and real-time analyses.
The predictions are calculated and updated for every container several times per day, and compared against the shipment schedule provided by the carrier.
If the latest ETA date communicated by the carrier appears to be improbable, Ocean Insights will raise a Time of Arrival Warning, so that you and your customers are notified as early as possible and can take appropriate measures. Where possible, an alternative arrival date and time, along with a confidence interval will be given:
Display of the Time of Arrival Warnings and Predictions
Ocean Insights' arrival predictions are given as a 3 level risk score, which makes it easy for you to identify shipments with an improbable carrier schedule:
All fine, the latest carrier ETA for this container is plausible.
If a carrier-independent arrival date can be calculated by Ocean Insights, the predictions differs less than 24 hours from the carrier's ETA.
Container will potentially arrive later or earlier than currently scheduled by the carrier.
If a carrier-independent arrival date can be calculated by Ocean Insights, the predictions differs from the carrier's ETA by 1 to 3 days.
Container will most likely arrive later or earlier than currently scheduled by the carrier.
If a carrier-independent arrival date can be calculated by Ocean Insights, the predictions differs from the carrier's ETA by 3 or more days.
The risk score is reflected in the list view in the Container Directory, and you of course can use filters to explicitly look up containers with Time of Arrival warnings:
Also, you will find the standard exception "POD arrival warning" on the landing page of the Container Tracking Platform:
The Time of Arrival Warnings and predicted time of arrival can also be found on the container's detail page, directly within the voyage representation, as well as in the milestone table:
Upon click of the warning, a detail box will open that informs about the reason for the warning, and where possible, visually contrasts the predicted arrival date calculated by Ocean Insights with the carrier's ETA dates: